Jobs, Skills and the
Continuing Demand for IT Workers
Information
Technology Association of America May 2002
Copyright 2002, ITAA
I. Executive Summary
With the release of this new report, Bouncing Back: Jobs, Skills and
the Continuing Demand for IT Workers, the Information Technology Association
of America (ITAA) again delivers the most comprehensive picture of the information
technology (IT) workforce in the United States.
Bouncing Back is an update of previous widely-cited ITAA studies
Bridging the Gap and When Can You Start?, quantifying the
size and scope of the U.S. Information Technology workforce, its geographical
distribution, skills preferences of hiring managers and future demand for
IT workers as well as predicted shortfall by IT and Non-IT companies. Adopting
the eight career clusters defined by the National Workforce Center for Emerging
Technologies (NWCET), Bouncing Back depicts the current marketplace
for IT workers in several key areas:
- Overall size, geographical distribution and organizational distribution
of the IT workforce;
- The number of IT workers hired and let go in the past 12 months;
- Predicted demand over the coming twelve months as well as anticipated
gap between supply and demand;
- Skill development techniques as outlined by hiring managers;
- Best methods of retaining IT workers; and
- Relevance of knowledge of information security for IT workers
The study also introduces an important addition to the depth of ITAA’s
IT workforce research, the ITAA/Dice Tech Skills Profile. This profile
reveals the top IT skills needed to obtain a variety of information technology
jobs, according to data collected in April 2002 from Dice, Inc., a leading
provider of online recruiting services for technology professionals. The
ITAA/Dice Tech Skills Profile will be updated quarterly to track overall
employment, as well as hot skills by job category and region.
In order to ensure consistency of data and survey methodology, ITAA again
commissioned the market research firm Market Decisions Corporation of
Portland, Oregon, www.mdcresearch.com,
to conduct the survey, including administering the questionnaire, data
collection, tabulation and reporting. Results are based on telephone interviews
with 532 hiring managers from IT and non-IT companies. The sample is projectable
to all U.S. companies greater than 50 employees. Results have sampling
variability of +/- 3.6% at the 90% confidence level.
This study is made possible through the support of its sponsors: American
Association of Community Colleges, Brainbench, The Chubb Institute, Cisco
Systems, Dice Inc., Intel, ITT Technical Institute, Microsoft, ProsoftTraining
and SRA International. Sponsors helped develop the survey questionnaire
and overall goals of the research.
Top Study Findings:
The IT Workforce in 2001
- The 10.4 million-member
IT workforce that ITAA measured in 2001 fell by 5% to 9.9 million workers
in early 2002. In aggregate terms the U.S. IT workforce experienced
a net loss of 528,496 workers over a 12-month period. Companies hired
2.1 million IT workers during the year, but also dismissed 2.6 million
IT workers.
- IT firms lost 15%
of IT workers, while non-IT companies dropped 4% during the same period.
- Reductions were
spread evenly across the United States, with all regions of the country
losing five percent of their IT workforce, however, the South led in
reductions as a percentage of the total, with 34%, or 181,928 IT workers
lost. The South also has the largest number of IT workers, home to 3,406,519
of them.
- Ninety-two percent
of IT workers work for non-IT companies.
- Software programmers and engineers are the single largest category
of IT worker, constituting almost 21% of the total workforce, and the
United States is home to 2,039,880 programmers. However, it was technical
support workers who were most likely to be let go within the last year.
The Demand for IT Workers
- Companies are optimistic about future hirings over the next twelve
months. They project an aggregate demand for IT workers of 1,148,639
in 2002, of which they expect 578,711 positions to go unfilled due to
a lack of qualified workers, referred to as the "gap" in IT workers.
While demand is up 27% over 2001, it is only 71% of the level measured
in 2000. Over the three years demand and gap have been counted by ITAA,
gap remains consistently around 50% of total demand.
- Demand for IT workers in the Midwest and the West is down significantly
between 2000 and 2002, with the Midwest experiencing an 68% drop and
the West down 71% over the two years.
- As a means to cope for the lack of skilled workers, outsourcing continues
to grow in popularity among non-IT companies, who cite an increase in
outsourcing of 17% over 2001.
IT Jobs: How to Get Them and How to Keep Them
- As in 2001, previous experience in a job is the single most important
skill credential for obtaining a new job in each of the NWCET job categories.
Informal training is now on par with a four-year college degree as the
best way to obtain needed skills.
- Overall, certification has grown in significance for each of the job
categories, while general job experience has declined in importance
as an entry-level skill credential.
- Four-year college was particularly important for database developers,
programmers and software engineers, enterprise systems integrators,
and technical writers.
IT Worker Retention
- Companies this year believe that an average acceptable time to retain
their IT workers is just slightly over 2 years. And they retain 84%
of their IT workers for this length of time or longer. It could be that
hiring managers have adjusted their outlook to better reflect reality
in this market. Last year, they said acceptable tenure was 33 months
on average, but they retained a lower percentage, 78%, for this length
of time. Non-IT companies in particular have significantly reduced their
expectations for employees’ length of stay in jobs, from three years
to less than two as an acceptable period with the company.
- Hiring managers believe that IT workers in all job categories have
the same primary retention incentive: money. Respondents rated a good
overall compensation plan more often than any other benefit (43 percent).
- Database developers and administrators seem to be short-timers in
IT positions, with hiring managers expecting them to stay put for an
average of 10 months. Non-IT firms had even lower expectations at a
mere eight months for database gurus. Programmers and technical writers
are the relative mainstays of the IT workforce, with average expected
tenures of 33 months each.
Importance of Information Security in the IT Workforce
- Information security issues were deemed most essential for the position
of network design and administration, which scored 8.1 on a nine point
scale. The professionals making the connections for a system are clearly
the most important line of defense against attacks. Enterprise systems
engineers and database administrators followed, ranking 7.7 and 7.4
respectively. Predictably, the positions where information security
was least significant were Technical Writing and Digital Media.
- For security professionals the most fertile ground for job seeking
is large (1,000 or more employees) IT companies, which average 36.3
positions per firm, more than four times the security workers in similar-sized
non-IT companies.
ITAA / Dice Tech Skills Profile
- C++, followed by Oracle, SQL, Java and Windows NT are the hottest,
most in demand IT skills as determined by the new ITAA / Dice Tech Skills
Profile.
Change and volatility continue in the U.S. IT job market, as documented
by the ITAA studies in previous years, and again this year with the
release of Bouncing Back.
ITAA remains committed to helping stakeholders identify hiring, reductions,
demand and gap patterns, as well as the bigger picture of ensuring a strong,
full pipeline of future skilled IT workers to lead the U.S. into the next
technology revolution.
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